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Posted By Topic: Wish fellow ABians Safe and Healhty       - Views: 224 Change Timezone:
Ah Lek Ferguson
15-Jun 2021 Tuesday 7:01 PM (48 days ago)
Prodrive1, vader8847, Chinatownboy and 11 others  14 Likes  
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and most of all, make a HUAT out of euro 21 



MANCHESTER UNITED BY FAITHbe a red devil








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Prodrive1, vader8847, Chinatownboy and 11 others  14 Likes  
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LONGSTER
15-Jun 2021 Tuesday 8:03 PM (48 days ago)            #2
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Ah lek is back !




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Ah Lek Ferguson  1 Likes  
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Ah Lek Ferguson
15-Jun 2021 Tuesday 8:16 PM (48 days ago)            #3
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quote originally posted by LONGSTER:
Ah lek is back !



bro Longster, bout time we kick up the charity again...lol 

 



MANCHESTER UNITED BY FAITHbe a red devil








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m_menthol and LONGSTER  2 Likes  
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justin11sg
15-Jun 2021 Tuesday 8:17 PM (48 days ago)            #4
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Retail Investor

VAR checking...


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sk33, LONGSTER and Ah Lek Ferguson  3 Likes  
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FUFUU
15-Jun 2021 Tuesday 8:20 PM (48 days ago)            #5
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Welcome back



download


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Ah Lek Ferguson  1 Likes  
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Ah Lek Ferguson
15-Jun 2021 Tuesday 8:27 PM (48 days ago)            #6
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quote originally posted by FUFUU:
Welcome back


miss u bro, never left, just not active...


 



MANCHESTER UNITED BY FAITHbe a red devil








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FUFUU  1 Likes  
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dragonson
15-Jun 2021 Tuesday 8:33 PM (48 days ago)            #7
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Long time no see




You'll Never Walk Alone
dragonson




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Ah Lek Ferguson  1 Likes  
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harewlood34
15-Jun 2021 Tuesday 8:34 PM (48 days ago)            #8
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quote originally posted by Ah Lek Ferguson:
and most of all, make a HUAT out of euro 21




Welcome back




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7 days WARNING given on 29-Jul-2021 12:04 HRS--- Please DO NOT reply blindly. Check the content before you post - https://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=47&Topic=3539072#41861848

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Ah Lek Ferguson  1 Likes  
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Fahrenheit
15-Jun 2021 Tuesday 8:34 PM (48 days ago)            #9
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Hi Ah Lek




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
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Ah Lek Ferguson  1 Likes  
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KoChun
15-Jun 2021 Tuesday 8:36 PM (48 days ago)            #10
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Long time no see, many old birds are back during major tournament.



 
Ah Lek Ferguson  1 Likes  
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Ah Lek Ferguson
15-Jun 2021 Tuesday 8:36 PM (48 days ago)            #11
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quote originally posted by dragonson:
Long time no see


been watching u, it hasnt been long 


 



MANCHESTER UNITED BY FAITHbe a red devil








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dragonson  1 Likes  
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Ah Lek Ferguson
15-Jun 2021 Tuesday 8:38 PM (48 days ago)            #12
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quote originally posted by harewlood34:

Welcome back


miss ur secretary pics

 



MANCHESTER UNITED BY FAITHbe a red devil








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harewlood34  1 Likes  
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Ah Lek Ferguson
15-Jun 2021 Tuesday 8:39 PM (48 days ago)            #13
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quote originally posted by dragonson:
Long time no see



yahhhh
 



MANCHESTER UNITED BY FAITHbe a red devil








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Ah Lek Ferguson
15-Jun 2021 Tuesday 8:40 PM (48 days ago)            #14
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quote originally posted by Fahrenheit:
Hi Ah Lek


bro Fahren, blessed evening to all bros and sis

 



MANCHESTER UNITED BY FAITHbe a red devil








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Fahrenheit  1 Likes  
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Ah Lek Ferguson
15-Jun 2021 Tuesday 8:41 PM (48 days ago)            #15
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quote originally posted by KoChun:
Long time no see, many old birds are back during major tournament.


times flies my sifu, am here to learn again...hahahha

 



MANCHESTER UNITED BY FAITHbe a red devil








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KoChun  1 Likes  
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SUPERBOYS
15-Jun 2021 Tuesday 8:42 PM (48 days ago)            #16
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quote originally posted by Ah Lek Ferguson:
and most of all, make a HUAT out of euro 21




Same to you bro 🤑




AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
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Chinatownboy and Ah Lek Ferguson  2 Likes  
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dragonson
15-Jun 2021 Tuesday 8:44 PM (48 days ago)            #17
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quote originally posted by Ah Lek Ferguson:

been watching u, it hasnt been long 
 


Watching me from where, dun scare me




You'll Never Walk Alone
dragonson




AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
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Ah Lek Ferguson  1 Likes  
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Ah Lek Ferguson
15-Jun 2021 Tuesday 8:50 PM (48 days ago)            #18
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quote originally posted by dragonson:

Watching me from where, dun scare me



from the web, 

stalking ab bros n sis without negative intention, dun be scared
 



MANCHESTER UNITED BY FAITHbe a red devil








AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
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(Est. Sep 2015)

Team Ranked: #1 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 68,973,437 Total Members: 2425
 
dragonson  1 Likes  
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dragonson
15-Jun 2021 Tuesday 8:54 PM (48 days ago)            #19
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quote originally posted by Ah Lek Ferguson:

from the web, 
stalking ab bros n sis without negative intention, dun be scared
 


Hahaha.. great to see u back here again.. been busy?




You'll Never Walk Alone
dragonson




AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
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Team Ranked: #1 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 68,973,437 Total Members: 2425
 
Ah Lek Ferguson  1 Likes  
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Ah Lek Ferguson
15-Jun 2021 Tuesday 9:07 PM (48 days ago)            #20
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quote originally posted by dragonson:

Hahaha.. great to see u back here again.. been busy?



am glad fellow ab bro n sis are doing good here, 

not busy but new job gives me less time to tcss here 
 



MANCHESTER UNITED BY FAITHbe a red devil








AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
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Team Ranked: #1 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 68,973,437 Total Members: 2425
   Like     
harewlood34
15-Jun 2021 Tuesday 9:10 PM (48 days ago)            #21
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quote originally posted by Ah Lek Ferguson:
miss ur secretary pics




Not secretary




AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
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7 days WARNING given on 29-Jul-2021 12:04 HRS--- Please DO NOT reply blindly. Check the content before you post - https://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=47&Topic=3539072#41861848

-Warning will be lifted on 05-Aug-2021

 
Ah Lek Ferguson  1 Likes  
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Fahrenheit
15-Jun 2021 Tuesday 9:12 PM (48 days ago)            #22
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quote originally posted by harewlood34:

Not secretary



Office lady 
 




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Bolametrix Quantitative Research
(Est. Oct 2014)

Team Ranked: #145 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 800,000 Total Members: 42
 
Ah Lek Ferguson  1 Likes  
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Ah Lek Ferguson
15-Jun 2021 Tuesday 9:29 PM (48 days ago)            #23
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quote originally posted by Fahrenheit:
Office lady 



reason we get to work on time
 



MANCHESTER UNITED BY FAITHbe a red devil








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FUFUU  1 Likes  
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FUFUU
15-Jun 2021 Tuesday 10:55 PM (48 days ago)            #24
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quote originally posted by Ah Lek Ferguson:
reason we get to work on time




U still need tcss



download


AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
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(Est. Sep 2015)

Team Ranked: #1 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 68,973,437 Total Members: 2425
 
Ah Lek Ferguson  1 Likes  
 Like     
dragonson
16-Jun 2021 Wednesday 2:08 AM (48 days ago)            #25
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quote originally posted by Ah Lek Ferguson:

am glad fellow ab bro n sis are doing good here, 
not busy but new job gives me less time to tcss here 
 


Yeah me too, been vacant for a long time




You'll Never Walk Alone
dragonson




AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
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(Est. Sep 2015)

Team Ranked: #1 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 68,973,437 Total Members: 2425
 
Ah Lek Ferguson  1 Likes  
 Like     
Ah Lek Ferguson
16-Jun 2021 Wednesday 8:59 PM (47 days ago)            #26
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quote originally posted by FUFUU:

U still need tcss



true bro, tcss is therapeutic 

 



MANCHESTER UNITED BY FAITHbe a red devil








AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Miracle Simple Win
(Est. Sep 2015)

Team Ranked: #1 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 68,973,437 Total Members: 2425
   Like     
Ah Lek Ferguson
16-Jun 2021 Wednesday 9:02 PM (47 days ago)            #27
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quote originally posted by dragonson:

Yeah me too, been vacant for a long time



as long as heart is here ok liao,

looking forward to kick up another ab charity small project

 
 



MANCHESTER UNITED BY FAITHbe a red devil








AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
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(Est. Sep 2015)

Team Ranked: #1 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 68,973,437 Total Members: 2425
 
Lita and dragonson  2 Likes  
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Ah Lek Ferguson
16-Jun 2021 Wednesday 9:05 PM (47 days ago)            #28
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quote originally posted by Ah Lek Ferguson:
as long as heart is here ok liao,

looking forward to kick up another ab charity small project

 



miss infantry's recent goodwill, hopefully he start another 1 after oct2020
 



MANCHESTER UNITED BY FAITHbe a red devil








AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
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(Est. Sep 2015)

Team Ranked: #1 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 68,973,437 Total Members: 2425
   Like     
dragonson
17-Jun 2021 Thursday 7:35 AM (47 days ago)            #29
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#1928

 
quote originally posted by Ah Lek Ferguson:

as long as heart is here ok liao,
looking forward to kick up another ab charity small project
 
 


Great job bro




You'll Never Walk Alone
dragonson




AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Miracle Simple Win
(Est. Sep 2015)

Team Ranked: #1 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 68,973,437 Total Members: 2425
 
Ah Lek Ferguson  1 Likes  
 Like     
Ah Lek Ferguson
17-Jun 2021 Thursday 8:43 PM (46 days ago)            #30
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quote originally posted by dragonson:

Great job bro




bro Infantry did a great job last charity setup, truly appreciate his work.

hope we can repeat his good work often.



MANCHESTER UNITED BY FAITHbe a red devil








AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
Miracle Simple Win
(Est. Sep 2015)

Team Ranked: #1 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 68,973,437 Total Members: 2425
 
dragonson  1 Likes  
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dragonson
17-Jun 2021 Thursday 8:49 PM (46 days ago)            #31
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quote originally posted by Ah Lek Ferguson:

bro Infantry did a great job last charity setup, truly appreciate his work.
hope we can repeat his good work often.


Yes, keep up the good work.




You'll Never Walk Alone
dragonson




AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
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(Est. Sep 2015)

Team Ranked: #1 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 68,973,437 Total Members: 2425
 
Ah Lek Ferguson  1 Likes  
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m_menthol
17-Jun 2021 Thursday 8:57 PM (46 days ago)            #32
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quote originally posted by Ah Lek Ferguson:

bro Longster, bout time we kick up the charity again...lol 
 



Support!




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Ah Lek Ferguson  1 Likes  
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Ah Lek Ferguson
18-Jun 2021 Friday 8:44 PM (45 days ago)            #33
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quote originally posted by m_menthol:


Support!



steady pom pipi for charity
 



MANCHESTER UNITED BY FAITHbe a red devil








AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team:
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(Est. Sep 2015)

Team Ranked: #1 - Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 68,973,437 Total Members: 2425
   Like     
Ah Lek Ferguson
19-Jun 2021 Saturday 6:09 PM (44 days ago)            #34
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quote originally posted by KoChun:
Long time no see, many old birds are back during major tournament.


good evening bro, true, ab is inspirational 

 



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Ah Lek Ferguson
22-Jun 2021 Tuesday 10:21 PM (41 days ago)            #35
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good evening @everyone bros n sis, 

anyone into bitcoins? apparently the coin is spiralling downtrend



MANCHESTER UNITED BY FAITHbe a red devil








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Ah Lek Ferguson
22-Jun 2021 Tuesday 10:37 PM (41 days ago)            #36
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quote originally posted by Ah Lek Ferguson:
good evening @everyone bros n sis, 

anyone into bitcoins? apparently the coin is spiralling downtrend


source from bnbc, ie, elon musk wanna spread his news of buying over at low price - ah lek estimate trade point can reach record low of 25k per coint...mark your appetite as the candle rollercoaster its way ...goodluck guys!

 


 

This message was edited by Ah Lek Ferguson on 22-Jun-2021 at 10:38 PM



MANCHESTER UNITED BY FAITHbe a red devil








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Lita
23-Jun 2021 Wednesday 1:44 AM (41 days ago)            #37
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quote originally posted by Ah Lek Ferguson:
as long as heart is here ok liao,

looking forward to kick up another ab charity small project

 


Kindly get it done.


 



 
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