"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible.ย Theory of Diversification There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettorโs favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he winsโbut the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a โnegative margin of safety.โ In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)
"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible.ย Theory of Diversification There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettorโs favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he winsโbut the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a โnegative margin of safety.โ In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P ๆ/close shop use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system ๅ็ฅ็ผ
betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557
We will always have your backs or fark our back? The answer is written all over the wall. Only the fools is responsive
AsianBookie Tipsters Championship
Member of Team: BNW (Est. May 2019)
Team Ranked: #1
- Team Score (Top 50 Members): AB$ 103,477,187
Total Members: 1478
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P ๆ/close shop use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system ๅ็ฅ็ผ
betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557
Released our CPF with immediate effect don't treats us like a kid giving sweets afew hundred dollars we don't want We are not bloody stupid for you to fools around with our CPF money this general election 2024 it's all abt our money inside CPF money we want our CPF money back CPF money ! CPF money! CPF money! the people want their CPF money back! the people want our CPF money back ! no talk all nonsense just release our CPF as soon as possible we will vote you out if CPF is no release !
Released our CPF with immediate effect don't treats us like a kid giving sweets afew hundred dollars we don't want We are not bloody stupid for you to fools around with our CPF money this general election 2024 it's all abt our money inside CPF money we want our CPF money back CPF money ! CPF money! CPF money! the people want their CPF money back! the people want our CPF money back ! no talk all nonsense just release our CPF as soon as possible we will vote you out if CPF is no release !
your sa in cpf close Transfer all to ra No good๐
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P ๆ/close shop use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system ๅ็ฅ็ผ
betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557
Ok lah for elderly like me take more monthly pay out maybe not good for your age ๐๐๐๐๐
Yup๐
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P ๆ/close shop use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system ๅ็ฅ็ผ
betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557
Minimum sum rised to new heights ๐ don't need any cpf I spf๐
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P ๆ/close shop use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system ๅ็ฅ็ผ
betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557
Singapore pools funds๐ u taking it also Get a online betting account and start joining into Spf๐ ๆญๅๅ่ดข ๐ It's take 10 years for cpf to build 100k but spf only needed 1 day ๐tio 1st prizes 4d or toto
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P ๆ/close shop use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system ๅ็ฅ็ผ
betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557
Singapore pools funds๐ u taking it also Get a online betting account and start joining into Spf๐ ๆญๅๅ่ดข ๐ It's take 10 years for cpf to build 100k but spf only needed 1 day ๐tio 1st prizes 4d or toto
๐wait lo u get your s24 show some new features ๐ of ai prediction soccer I interested to see how powerful it can get
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P ๆ/close shop use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system ๅ็ฅ็ผ
betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557
I thought you buying also? ah long said you win alot ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐
๐many out of stock checked wait lo Until now no news Maybe cny alot ppl purchased it After next month stock up Ok already 256 no stock ๐
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P ๆ/close shop use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system ๅ็ฅ็ผ
betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557
I thought you buying also? ah long said you win alot ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐
gf new video out๐u supporting
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P ๆ/close shop use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system ๅ็ฅ็ผ
betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557
Lawrence Wong says they will give seniors Fund to learn AI
Learn ai ๐don't need to learn ai learn us or we learn ai Still not sure yet We be in zoo if robots takes over It's a very dangerous tool to use also Higher ai beings could take over human beings In hours jam all the machinery and human resources Gone in hours No good always ๐
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P ๆ/close shop use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system ๅ็ฅ็ผ
betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557
Learn ai ๐don't need to learnย ai learn us or we learn ai Still not sure yet We be in zoo if robots takes overย It's a very dangerous tool to use also Higher ai beings could take over human beingsย In hours jam all the machinery and human resourcesย Gone in hoursย No good always ๐
Ai zhun I happier ๐ everyday collect money No need to think too much
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P ๆ/close shop use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system ๅ็ฅ็ผ
betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557
Not a issue ๐ sp pools used ai now u say want to use anot ๐ no harm trying always Got nothing to lose also Look at jogk win all the way See ai can last long-term than good So try 50 matches prediction If can get 48 matches right Enough to live with it
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P ๆ/close shop use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system ๅ็ฅ็ผ
betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557
Not a issue ๐ sp pools used ai now u say want to use anot ๐ no harm trying always Got nothing to lose also Look at jogk win all the way See ai can last long-term than good So try 50 matches prediction If can get 48 matches right Enough to live with it
Nope I use gui๐ U goggle gui in bible and see what it means
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P ๆ/close shop use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system ๅ็ฅ็ผ
betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557
Gui meaning In bible ๐ u youtube also can U would know why gui good
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P ๆ/close shop use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system ๅ็ฅ็ผ
betting records at
http://forums.asianbookie.com/viewmessages.cfm?Forum=45&Topic=2112557
Main Menu >
Gossip Corner >
NOW LIVE IN PARLIAMENT TALK ...
[ 161 Chatters Online
]
1
Find all Topics Started by JOGK
Find all Posts by JOGK
Follow / Unfollow
PM JOGK
16-Feb 2024 Friday
3:34 PM (73 days ago)
2 Likes
Like
16-Feb 2024 Friday
3:47 PM (73 days ago)
16-Feb 2024 Friday
7:00 PM (73 days ago)
quote originally posted by QuencH:
quote originally posted by JOGK:
More good news 
quote originally posted by justin11sg:
Support for ah gong ah Ma 
