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Posted By Topic: Taylor Swift The Eras Tour SG Full Concert - Night #3       - Views: 150
Fahrenheit
05-Mar 2024 Tuesday 9:21 PM (54 days ago)
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"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

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LONGSTER
06-Mar 2024 Wednesday 9:40 AM (54 days ago)            #2
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LONGSTER
06-Mar 2024 Wednesday 9:43 AM (54 days ago)            #3
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Fahren the girl on the right of the video looks very familiar 




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LONGSTER
06-Mar 2024 Wednesday 10:56 AM (54 days ago)            #4
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People were shoving us, says fan who paid $1,800 for floor seat at Taylor Swift concert
People were shoving us, says fan who paid $1,800 for floor seat at Taylor Swift concert
PHOTO: Screengrab/TikTok/Linmaxin
It was meant to be a once-in-a-lifetime event, but one Taylor Swift fan was left disappointed after her concert experience was ruined by other attendees.

After attending the first show in Singapore last night (March 2), a fan named Alina took to TikTok to air her grievances about some unruly fans who had shoved her.

The 23-year-old Swiftie shared that she had purchased a VIP 1 package for $1,800, which includes a reserved seated floor ticket near the diamond stage, where Swift performs several songs and interacts with fans on the floor.

However, Alina had to contend with other fans, who had left their seats at other floor sections and rushed to her section to get a closer view of the American pop star.

She told AsiaOne on Sunday that fans started trickling to her section from the first set of show, and "started coming in big waves" during the second set.

Although Alina was mildly irritated by this, she said the people who entered her section generally didn’t bother them.

"But people started pushing and bumping into us and the crowd got really heavy around the Speak Now era (mid-point of the concert). That was when I got incredibly frustrated," said Alina.

"At some points, I had difficulty breathing from how many people were squeezing into our section."

She estimated that there were around 20 people who had moved to her section.

"Instead of telling them to go back to their sections, [the security guards] pushed the extra people into our seated rows, and it just caused even more crowding," Alina said in the video.

"There's no space for them, because this is not their section!"

According to Alina, a group of women who had moved into her section squeezed themselves into the row behind, constantly jostling her.

At some point, one woman allegedly placed her hands on her and asked if she could move.

"I paid for the seat, I paid $1,800 to be treated like this?" Alina asked in the video.

When she reported the incident to a security guard, however, the staff reportedly did not tell the intruders to leave the section and only told the woman to stop touching Alina.

The women later moved to the very front of the section, said the affronted fan.

Alina and her friend, who were seated at the very end of their row, were pushed and ended up having their view of the stage blocked by people with tickets for other sections.

Fan calls for stricter guidelines

While Alina said she did not fully blame the security guards, who appeared to be at a loss on how to handle the situation, she hopes for organisers to better regulate the concerts by having strict guidelines set in place.

"At the end of the day, I'm just really appalled, and ultimately really disappointed with how everything was handled," she said.

"I still enjoyed myself, of course, but a lot of my enjoyment was impeded by these people who didn't know how to stay in their own sections or rows."

Although she didn't have a fully enjoyable experience, Alina told AsiaOne that she hopes to attend another show.

"I don’t want my memories of this tour to be just frustration and anger," she said.

When asked if she has any advice for concertgoers, Alina added: "⁠If people are beginning to intrude into your space, be firm and tell them off. I told the person who asked me to move off and she left my row (but went to the front), which let me enjoy the rest of the tour in peace.

"Also, just have fun even if people in your section aren’t vibing or singing. Bring a portable fan as it’ll be really hot."

Several netizens sympathised with her plight, with concertgoers revealing that they had also witnessed attendees rushing to the diamond stage.




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LONGSTER
06-Mar 2024 Wednesday 10:56 AM (54 days ago)            #5
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Another fan shares similar experience

Another fan, who flew from Taiwan to Singapore to watch the show, took to X (formerly Twitter) to share his disappointing experience with the crowd.

"I thought The Eras Tour Singapore would be the best day of my life. It wasn't," he wrote.

The Swiftie, who also had VIP 1 floor tickets, said that people seated at the back "were going crazy" and swarmed to the front of the aisle.

"They kept on pushing and pushing, until there was no room for me to stand."

As the stadium was warm and humid, he started feeling nauseous and sought help from venue staff. However, they reportedly told him "there's nothing we can do".

"Now I just hope I can fly back [to Taiwan] as soon as I can," said the fan.

AsiaOne has reached out to Singapore Sports Hub for more information.




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LONGSTER
06-Mar 2024 Wednesday 11:16 AM (54 days ago)            #6
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Many years later she grown up?




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Fahrenheit
06-Mar 2024 Wednesday 11:19 AM (54 days ago)            #7
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quote originally posted by LONGSTER:
Many years later she grown up?


Don't think is same person lei

 




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

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LONGSTER
06-Mar 2024 Wednesday 11:21 AM (54 days ago)            #8
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quote originally posted by Fahrenheit:
Don't think is same person lei




Looks same leh 

the Chinatown video was years ago 




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LONGSTER
06-Mar 2024 Wednesday 11:35 AM (54 days ago)            #9
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LONGSTER
06-Mar 2024 Wednesday 11:36 AM (54 days ago)            #10
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😂 I tot she grown up Liao buy vip tickets complain 

vlogger or tiktoker ?




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seelangui
07-Mar 2024 Thursday 8:11 AM (53 days ago)            #11
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quote originally posted by LONGSTER:
😂 I tot she grown up Liao buy vip tickets complain 

vlogger or tiktoker ?



Stomper 😂
 



see what you want to see believe all you see
My current Mission is keep wining until S_P 斗/close shop
use main & sub method unit 1 unit= $20:
Use main bet as base the rest side bet to add on to max win or more Name it Eye jackpot system 南神眼



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dragonson 07-Mar 2024 Thursday 10:07 AM (53 days ago)            #12
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LONGSTER
08-Mar 2024 Friday 11:06 AM (52 days ago)            #13
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Wah Liew really must watch fast

They take down so fast




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Fahrenheit
08-Mar 2024 Friday 11:37 AM (52 days ago)            #14
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quote originally posted by LONGSTER:
Wah Liew really must watch fast

They take down so fast


Ya, i have watched it before they took down. That video was quite good, not shaky. Lots of other videos too shaky, very hard to watch.

 




"Margin of Safety" as the Central Concept of Betting
A team's past ability to create quality chances is the expected number of goals that they should have produced. The expected number of goals in excess of the actual number of goals constitutes the "margin of safety". The margin is counted on to cushion the bettor against discomfiture in the event of a performance decline in the upcoming fixture. The soccer bettor does not expect the upcoming fixture to work out the same as in the past. If he were sure of that, the safety margin demanded might be small. The function of a safety margin is, in essence, that of rendering unnecessary an accurate estimate of the team's winning probability in the upcoming fixture. If the safety margin is sufficiently large, then it is enough to assume that the team's upcoming performance will not fall far below their expected goals in order for the bettor to feel sufficiently cushioned against bad luck. The safety margin is always dependent on the odds that the bettor accepts from the bookie. It will be large in certain odds, small at some lower odds, and negative when the odds is too low. However, even with a safety margin in the bettor's favour, he may lose his bet. For the margin guarantees only that he has a better chance of winning - not that loss is impossible. 
Theory of Diversification
There is a close logical connection between the concept of safety margin and the principle of diversification. One is correlative with the other. Even with a margin in the bettor’s favor, an individual bet may work out badly. But as the number of such commitments is increased the more certain does it become that the aggregate of the profits will exceed the aggregate of the losses. This point may be made more colorful by a reference to the arithmetic of roulette. If a man bets $1 on a single number, he is paid $35 profit when he wins—but the chances are 37 to 1 that he will lose. He has a “negative margin of safety.” In his case diversification is foolish. The more numbers he bets on, the smaller his chance of ending with a profit. If he regularly bets $1 on every number (including 0 and 00), he is certain to lose $2 on each turn of the wheel. But suppose the winner received $39 profit instead of $35. Then he would have a small but important margin of safety. Therefore, the more numbers he wagers on, the better his chance of gain. And he could be certain of winning $2 on every spin by simply betting $1 each on all the numbers. (Incidentally, the two examples given actually describe the respective positions of the player and proprietor of a wheel with a 0 and 00.)

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LONGSTER
08-Mar 2024 Friday 11:46 AM (52 days ago)            #15
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quote originally posted by Fahrenheit:

Ya, i have watched it before they took down. That video was quite good, not shaky. Lots of other videos too shaky, very hard to watch.
 




Yah

A pity I only managed to watch 30 mins

Tot cont watch another day .. turns out they kena wipe out




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LONGSTER
08-Mar 2024 Friday 11:47 AM (52 days ago)            #16
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quote originally posted by Fahrenheit:

Ya, i have watched it before they took down. That video was quite good, not shaky. Lots of other videos too shaky, very hard to watch.
 




Some videos with their own talking and camera zoom here zoom there




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Taurus05
11-Mar 2024 Monday 10:14 AM (49 days ago)            #17
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Look like air con not cold enough for Ms Swift.



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